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Mortgage Rates Rise Following Employment Report
ST. LOUIS, (PRNewswire) July 16, 2005 - Mortgage rates climbed for the second week in a row as a lukewarm employment report dispelled fears of both an economic slowdown and higher inflation.
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage climbed from 5.7 percent to 5.76 percent, according to Bankrate.com's weekly national survey of large lenders. The 30-year fixed rate mortgages in this week's survey had an average of 0.39 discount and origination points.
The 15-year fixed rate mortgage popular for refinancing ascended to 5.36 percent from 5.29 percent. The average rate for the jumbo 30-year fixed rate mortgage hit the 6 percent mark, rising from 5.95 percent. Adjustable rate mortgages were mixed, with the average 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage jumping from 5.27 percent to 5.35 percent, while the one-year ARM dipped to 4.71 percent from 4.76 percent one week ago.
The monthly employment report issued July 8 showed moderate job growth in the month of June. While this type of report would not normally cause interest rates to rise, it did reinforce the notion of the "Goldilocks economy," one that is not too hot, but not too cold either.
With things not as bad as the pessimists thought but not as strong as the optimists predicted, there were fewer fears about an economic downturn or potentially higher labor costs that would induce inflation.
In response to both, bond investors sold long-term Treasury securities. Mortgage rates are closely related to yields on long-term government bonds. Yields on ten-year Treasury notes have climbed from 3.94 percent to 4.16 percent since the Fed raised rates for the ninth time on June 30, pushing mortgage rates up in each of the past two weeks.
Fixed mortgage rates remain very low, and so too do monthly payments. One year ago, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.11 percent. At the time, the monthly payment on a $165,000 loan was $1,000.96. With the average rate now 5.76 percent, the monthly payment on the same $165,000 loan is $963.94. Refinancing now would save $37 each month, or more than $13,300 over the loan term.
The survey is complemented by Bankrate's weekly forward-looking Rate Trend Index, in which a panel of mortgage experts predicts which way the rates are headed over the next 30 to 45 days. Respondents are split this week, with 40 percent expecting rates to remain unchanged in the next 30-45 days, and 40 percent predicting rates will retreat from current levels. The remaining 20 percent expect rates to keep climbing.
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Employment Rebounds in St. Louis
Missouri Quality Jobs Act to Create Jobs, Spur Economic Growth
Smurfit-Stone Anticipates Job Growth at New Headquarters in St. Louis County
Worker Confidence Drops Sharply in February Employment Market
Minority-Owned Businesses Boost Local Economies in Tight Job Market
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U.S. Households Led by Single Mothers and Displaced Homemakers on the Rise
Job Market Continues Growth As Worker's Confidence Levels Increase
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